AdvanceTrak Gives You A Great Timeline On When To Expect Storms In Your Area
The latest run from AdvanceTrak just came in and it is doing a fantastic job on the storms, so I wanted to get it for you to look at ASAP. Here is the latest radar from StormViewHD.
Keep in mind the western part of our area is under a Severe T-Storm Watch until 6 pm.
As we look at AdvanceTrak, remember the timestamp is on the top right part of each image. Notice it is very close to what we are seeing on radar right now near 2 pm.
My Thoughts On These Storms
I continue to feel comfortable with my assessment from the last blog... The data suggests the storms will maintain their strength and scattered severe storms remain possible this afternoon and evening. The latest data suggests a time of near 2 pm - 3 pm for the western part of our area, near 4 PM for Louisville, and 4 pm - 6 pm for the eastern part of our area. Linger showers are likely behind the initial stronger storms. Hail and damaging winds will be the primary threat. It doesn't look like a blow-out event, but we do need to watch the storms for a severe threat this afternoon and early evening.
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marc, AT shows it bowing out at 5pm. do you anticipate this? is AT normally correct with that?
Posted by: chrisb | 09/05/2012 at 01:48 PM
chrisb, I think the more accurate term in this situation would be gusting out. There is no sign of an MCV, so there is no indication of it turning into a large scale wind producer. It remains out flow dominated on most of the line.
Posted by: Marc Weinberg | 09/05/2012 at 02:28 PM