« Fine weekend weather comes to an end. Big storm coming! | Main | TODAY'S BLOG: Helping You Plan The Rest Of The Day »

09/16/2012

Rain arrives before the big chill!

Following a beautiful weekend, we've got some big changes coming.

Although it remains dry across Kentuckiana right now, showers and storms are already forming to our southwest across Western Kentucky and Tennessee.

Rad2

The precipitation marks the leading edge of some deep Gulf Moisture that is streaming up from the south.  

To the north, a strong cold front is forming across the Northern Plains in association with a powerful upper level storm system.

Satrad

The combination of the approaching moisture and storm system will spell rain for much of the region tomorrow.  

AdvanceTrak is picking up on the situation first thing tomorrow with scattered showers developing across our southern counties around 7 or 8 am.

At1

By midday, widespread scattered showers and storms are expected for areas along and south of the Ohio River.  

Furthern north, the showers look to remain more isolated across most of Southern Indiana.

At2

By evening, AT is showing some very heavy rainfall across much of Southeastern Kentucky where several inches of the wet stuff will be possible.

At3

There is some question as to how far north the heaviest precip will fall.  The GFS wx model from earlier today was painting as much as 2 1/2 inches of rain across our southern counties.  

Rainfall projection

This seems to be on the high side of most estimates.  This projection from the Euro wx model seems more reasonable with 1 to 1 1/2 inch amounts across our southern counties.  

All models agree on lighter totals on the order of 1/4 to 3/4 inches for the metro and Southern Indiana.

Rainfall projection2

Moral of the story... Carry the rain gear with you out the door tomorrow!  

After the rain, be prepared for the cold.  Parts of the area could experience their first frost Tuesday night!  

For more on that prospect, be sure to wake up with Jude on WDRB in the Morning.

Meteorologist Jeremy Kappell

 16437438_BG3

Jeremy's Bio

Follow me on Facebook!

Follow me on Twitter!

Email me at jkappell@wdrb.com

 

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

Verify your Comment

Previewing your Comment

This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.

Working...
Your comment could not be posted. Error type:
Your comment has been posted. Post another comment

The letters and numbers you entered did not match the image. Please try again.

As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.

Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.

Working...

Post a comment