70 MPH Winds And Nearly 2 Feet Of Snow? Plus I Am Talking About Our Severe Threat...
Part of the country is preparing for Tropical Storm Karen now churning in the Gulf Of Mexico and the other part a blizzard! Fall is truly a transition season and we are seeing it play out in a huge way over the next 5 days! Check out this powerful storm...
Winter Storm / Severe Storm Discussion
The storm that is going to bring us rain and t-storms this weekend is moving across the Rockies right now and powering up. It will drop in pressure quicky and become a powerful fall storm in the next 24 hours. Notice the widespread snow already falling in Wyoming.
The data is throwing down some pretty brutal snowfall totals for South Dakota in particular. AdvanceTrak is throwing down the gauntlet showing over 2 feet of snow! Notice the Rapid City, SD forecast from AdvanceTrak going over 25" of snow.
Snow totals are huge, but add 70 mph winds to that and you have a dangerous storm. This thing is going to produce over a foot of snow with sustained winds of 55 mph in some locations that may gust to hurricane force. We have blizzard warnings and winter storm warnings blanketing Wyoming, South Dakota, and Colorado.
My Thoughts On This Storm Plus Our Severe Threat...
This is truly the first real winter storm of the 2013 - 2014 fall / winter and it is really a powerhouse. It will wind up in the Rockies and northern plains producing huge snow with dangerous winds. The severe setup looks like a real problem near Iowa on Friday with a wind profile that does suggest tornadoes are in play. This will be a huge story in the next 5 days.
As for our area, the wind energy will be supportive of severe weather but the front appears that it will come through Sunday morning. As you know, storms get their fuel from heat and the morning in Fall is the cool part of the day. We would expect the instability (fuel) to be low for t-storms on Sunday morning and that is exactly what we see.
As things stand right now, I think locally heavy rain remains the greatest threat with this front on Sunday. I can never rule out a rogue strong storm, but a large organized severe threat appears off the table for our area right now.
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