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10/03/2017

BLACK WOOLLY WORMS! What Does This Mean For The Upcoming Winter Season?

It's that time of the year when people start talking about the infamous woolly worm! As you know, a lot of people swear that the color and pattern of woolly worms can be used predict winter weather.

Let's start by looking at what a wolly worm is. The woolly worm is actually the tiger moths in the larva stage. The technical name for the woolly worm is Pyrrharctia Isabella. In the late summer / fall these woolly worms start to appear more and more. In case you didn't know, folklore says that thin brown bands on the woolly worms means a harsh winter is coming, wider brown banded woolly worms mean a mild winter,  nearly black woolly worms means a severe winter is coming, and finally the very light brown or white woolly worms mean a snowy winter according to the folklore.

With more photos of woolly worms coming in on social media, I wanted to share some of them with you. While I'm on the subject, please send us YOUR woolly worm pictures on Facebook or Twitter. Ok, aside from an exception or two, we've seen a lot of black woolly worms which would indicate a severe winter... 

Wol1

Image Credit:Elizabeth McKeehan

Wol2

Image Credit: Kay Dawson

  Wol3

Image Credit: TJ Woosley

 

Woolly Worm ... Superstition Or Accurate Predictor Of Winter?

What you might not know is there actually was research done in the 1950s for 8 years by Dr. C.H. Curran. At the time, Dr. Curran was the curator of insects at the American Museum of Natural History in New York. Dr. Curran found that generally the wider the brown segments on the woolly worm the more mild the winter would be. I think you can see where the folklore was born. Since then, there have been independent tests done and most say the woolly worms are about as accurate at predicting the winter as flipping a coin.

In reality, the woolly worm can tell something about the weather, but only the past winter. To understand, we need to look a little more into how woolly worms grow. As the woolly worm grows through spring, they molt which means they shed their skin. Every time they shed their skin, more brown bands can occur. Basically it appears the more brown bands a woolly worm has can be an indicator of the age of each woolly worm or when it started to grow in the prior spring. Entomologist Mike Peters from UMASS says specifically that the colored bands on a woolly worm are "telling you about the previous year('s)" winter, not the upcoming winter.

The bottom line is the woolly worm is folklore and most scientists agree there is no correlation between the color of the woolly worm and the upcoming winterHowever, if you do believe in the woolly worm forecast you should prepare for a severe winter!

 

 

-Rick DeLuca

Rick

https://www.facebook.com/RickDeLucaWeather

 

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