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54 posts from December 2017

12/31/2017

Why This Cold Is Dangerous To Your Body

We have a Wind Chill Advisory in effect until Tuesday afternoon because the cold weather can be hazardous to your health. Lest we be accused of "hyping" this weather unnecessarily, let's talk about the real health impacts of the cold this week. 

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First, we expect wind chills as cold as 15 degrees below zero Monday and Tuesday mornings.  Raw temperatures will be in the single digits (above zero), and the wind will be blowing up to about 15 mph to give us these wind chills.  

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According to the National Weather Service Wind Chill Chart, frostbite can start at these conditions in as little as 30 or 40 minutes. However frostbite is not the only "cold stress" condition we will talk about. 

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HEALTH RISKS

Chillblains and "cold hives" (really called cold urticaria) look like skin irritation and rashes.  They happen when your skin is exposed to cold air.  Small blood vessels in your body become inflamed or irritated as a result of being exposed to the cold. You'll notice itchy red skin that will likely go away when temperatures climb, but seek medical attention if they don't clear. 

Frostbite will cause extremities to go numb, so this is the one you really have to be careful about.  This will affect those of you with poor circulation first.  WebMD says, "Stay on the watch for yellowish-gray or white skin with a firm or waxy feel, or lack of feeling in a part of your body." If frostbite happens, get inside to somewhere warm.  Soak the affected area in warm, not hot, water to thaw the numb areas.  

Hypothermia happens when your body's temperature falls below normal.  Early symptoms include shivers, dizziness or confusion, trouble moving and speaking, rapid heart rate, feeling hungry or tired, and nausea.  Medical professionals advise you to call 9-1-1 if you or someone you know is hypothermic. Warmth has to be returned to the body slowly. 

To prevent all of these, dress in layers.  You need to cover exposed skin, especially extremities like fingers and ears.  It's also important to remember that the cold weather constricts your blood vessels.  That can cause chest pain or other discomfort in people with heart disease. 

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-Hannah Strong

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New Years Eve Weather Update

From Jude Redfield...

     Our wind chill advisory runs through Tuesday. The worst of the chill will be felt in the late overnight/early morning when we expect the feels like values to range between 0 and -10. The map below tells the story. The entire nation is under the influence of the arctic express.

Temps

    Today's travel isn't going to be slowed by any snow storms. Roads should be in pretty good shape for most of the region

Stormview

    If you have plans on being out tonight my advice would be to have extra blankets in your car just in case...

TempPlunge

    Happy New Year to all and safe travels wherever you go. -Jude Redfield-

12/30/2017

Temps Have Been Below Freezing For 6 Days - A Record in Jeopardy

Our temperatures lately have been very low.  Much lower than they should be, even during this time of year.  For example, today's high temperature was almost 15 degrees colder than it should be compared to average. 

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It's not just today though.  The last seven days have all had high temperatures lower than average.  The last 6 of those days have seen high temperatures at or below freezing (32º).  That is significant because the temperature at Standiford Field (where official measurements are taken) has not been warmer than freezing since before Christmas.  

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It's not very likely we will break records for coldest low or high temperatures on any given day. Sunday is the only day we will be close to record temperatures. But we also keep track of stretches of days at or below freezing.  That record may be in jeopardy.  The longest stretch at or below freezing is 18 days.  We have already had 6 days at or below freezing, and I have at least 7 more days in the forecast. Wednesday is the only day that makes me a little hesitant in our 7 day forecast.  Other than that I'm very confident our temperatures will stay at or below freezing.  That would get us to 13 days - just a few shy of the record. It will interesting to see what the extended forecast holds. 

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I see a slight warm-up in our extended forecast.  The longer-range forecast models are suggesting a rise in temperatures by mid-January. The outlook below from the Climate Prediction Center shows we have more than a 60% chance of seeing above normal temperatures during the middle of the month. 

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I'll be talking more about the extremely cold air during the news tonight at 10, and all of our meteorologists will keep you informed about temperatures and wind chills during the week.

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-Hannah Strong

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Wind Chill Advisory Sunday Through Tuesday

A Wind Chill Advisory has been issued for nearly all of our WDRB counties.  It will go into effect Sunday night and continue through Tuesday afternoon because wind chills are expected to be dangerously cold.  Please note this Advisory will be active during New Year's Eve celebrations Sunday night. 

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Wind chill values are forecast to be between 5 and 15 degrees below zero during that time frame.  The Advisory runs from 7 PM Sunday until 1 PM Tuesday. 

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Frostbite can occur in 30-40 minutes with wind chills that low if your skin is not covered.  Make sure you bundle up even if it's just to walk the dog.  This also means pets need to be protected from the cold. 

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Below is the text of the Advisory from the National Weather Service office in Louisville. 

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ SUNDAY
TO 1 PM EST /NOON CST/ TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Cold wind chills of 5 below zero to 15 below zero could
cause frostbite in as little as 30 minutes to exposed skin.

* WHERE...Portions of south central Indiana and central Kentucky.

* WHEN....Each night and morning from New Year's Eve through
midday on Tuesday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared to dress warm and carry a
winter travel kit if you plan to be out and about. In addition,
consider allowing your pets indoors each night.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Chill Advisory means that cold air and the wind will
combine to create low wind chills. Frost bite and hypothermia can
occur if precautions are not taken. Make sure you wear a hat and
gloves.

I'll be explaining more about this Advisory and the bitter cold coming in during the news tonight at 10. 

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-Hannah Strong

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Arctic Hounds About To Howl

From Jude Redfield...

    It's been way too long since we've been above freezing. Christmas Eve afternoon was the last time! If the forecast is correct we won't go above freezing until next Sunday or Monday. This would put us around 12 days in a row. The record for Louisville is 18 day if you were wondering.

TempPlunge

    Our Saturday morning wind chill values up north are absurd.

Temps

    This cold air is coming south and nothing will stop it. It will be the coldest we've had since 2015.  The fact that most of Kentuckiana is snow free will actually save us quite a bit. The snow pack is where the worst of the arctic express ends up. Not that we are expecting a picnic, but our wind chill values of 0 to -10 Sunday, Monday and Tuesday morning would be soooo much worse if we were covered in snow. That's about the only positive I can find.

Stormview

    If you plan on heading out New Years Eve my only advice is to brace for the harsh cold and be prepared in case you have car troubles. You just never know when it won't run.

Rainamounts

    If you're wondering about snow or lack of it...

Last winter and so far this winter has proven to be snow pathetic. We are more than a foot in the snow deficit department.  We will continue with a few flurries at times over the next week, but you can forget about significant snow for a while.

Specialgraphic

    Make sure to check in with Hannah Strong tonight to get the updated forecast. Enjoy the weekend and safe travels if you are hitting the roads anytime soon. -Jude Redfield-

12/29/2017

Snow Chances Friday and Saturday

We are forecasting light snow north of the river beginning today and continuing through Saturday afternoon.  Below is the timing of the snow from AdvanceTrak.  The models are shifting the edge of the snow a bit farther south, so more of you have a chance to see it tonight. 

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The chance for snow starts after 2 PM in southern Indiana and continues through Saturday morning. It's possible Louisville could see a few snow showers tonight between 4 and midnight.  The best chance for snow is in southern Indiana and northeastern Kentucky. 

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The NAM (North American Mesoscale) model is forecasting additional snow Saturday morning.  The map above is for 7 AM Saturday.  The problem with much more snow on Saturday is the air coming in behind the cold front that is pushing this snow toward us.  That air behind the front is dry, arctic air.  The other forecast models show that drier air moving in late morning, so the NAM here is kind of an outlier.  The drier air means there would not be enough moisture for snow to fall.  If it does fall, it would have to pass through that dry air and would likely evaporate. 

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Most of you who see snow fall will only see a dusting.  Jennings County in Indiana is really the only spot I expect to see more - up to half an inch.  That is based on the latest model runs that have shifted the center of snow a bit farther south. 

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-Hannah Strong

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12/28/2017

2017 IN REVIEW: Which Weather Event Stands Out In Your Memory?

Every year Indiana and Kentucky experience crazy weather, and 2017 did not disappoint. From incredible warmth in February that contributed to a winter of very little snow, to increased tornado activity, to tropical systems making themselves known well inland, there were a lot of important weather days here in 2017.

February 24: Strong low pressure advanced from Illinois to the Great Lakes, bringing incredibly warm air northward into much of the eastern part of the country. Punctuating an already warm winter, temperatures soared into the lower 80's in many locations. The 81° reading in Louisville had never been experienced before in February in Derby City.

March 1: A powerful storm system crossed the lower Ohio Valley on the evening of Tuesday, February 28, and the early morning hours of Wednesday March 1. Multiple rounds of thunderstorms brought large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes. The strongest tornado of the year in the Louisville NWS office's area of responsibility was an EF2 that struck at three minutes after midnight near Ireland in Dubois County.

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Tornado damage in northern Orange County on March 1. Photo courtesy Rick Emerick.

March 27: A strong low pressure system tracked northeast through the Ohio Valley producing discrete storm cells and a line of storms during the late afternoon and evening hours. Numerous reports of wind damage and large hail resulted from these storms. An EF1 tornado did damage near Center in Metcalfe County.

April 5Four EF1 tornadoes struck central Kentucky, three of which were within a few miles of each other north of Center in Metcalfe and Green Counties.

April 28: Storms developed along a warm front across southern Indiana during the evening. These spread into north central KY through the late evening and overnight hours. Hail up to half dollar size was produced by the storms. One tornado occurred shortly before midnight at Goshen in Oldham County. This eventually transitioned to a heavy rain event with many flash flooding reports.

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Image Credit: NWS  / Flooding in Crawford County on April 29. 

May 6: Mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers greeted racing fans at the Kentucky Derby, making for a muddy track.

May 19: A persistent line of storms produced torrential rains in and around Salem, Indiana. The stream gauge on the Blue River went a foot over the record stage before being damaged by the floodwaters. A Flash Flood Emergency was issued. Also, a small tornado struck Crawford County near Sulphur.

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Catastrophic flooding in Salem on May 19. Photo courtesy Rosy Callahan.

May 20: A weak tornado touched down along Big Clifty Creek near Madison, Indiana. Homes and trees were damaged.

May 27: A warm and moist air mass moved into the region with temperatures rising into the mid 80s and dew point temperatures near 70.  Widespread thunderstorms produced multiple hail reports as well as some tree damage.  A Flash Flood Emergency was declared for Taylor and Casey Counties where radar estimated 4-6" of rain fell over a relatively short period of time.

June 23: A cold front dropping in from the northwest met up with the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy coming in from the southwest to cause widespread heavy rain. Wind shear in the low levels of the atmosphere near Cindy's circulation led to tornado development in LaRue, Marion, and Jessamine Counties.

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Image Credit: NWS / Tornado damage in LaRue County on June 23. 

July 7: A hot, muggy day led to plenty of instability for storms coming in from Indiana/Ohio to feed on. These storms brought strong winds and hail as well as continuous lightning to some locations.

September 1: The remnants of Hurricane Harvey moved into the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, dropping up to 5 inches of rain on central Kentucky and far southern Indiana.  

November 5: A strong cold front moved through the area overnight November 5-6. Ahead of this front strong storms moved into southern Indiana resulting in 3 tornadoes in Washington County. In addition to the tornadoes, strong winds aloft were able to mix down to the surface across central Kentucky. A broad swath of 40-55 mph winds resulted in numerous power outages across the region.

November 18: A fast moving squall line pushed through central Kentucky and southern Indiana in the late afternoon and early evening. Several breaks formed in the line, allowing nearby storms to produce pockets of wind damage and three brief tornadoes.

 

Info Credit: NWS Louisville

 

 

 

-Rick DeLuca

Rick

https://www.facebook.com/RickDeLucaWeather

5 Chances to See the ISS in the Next 3 Days

The International Space Station will be passing over Louisville five times in the next three days! If you like to watch for it, this weekend will be a great time to do that.  There are two chances to see it Friday, one Saturday, and two Sunday.  All of the viewing opportunities happen in the morning.  

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Friday is likely your best chance to see the ISS because of clouds.  At 5:55 AM it will be visible for about 3 minutes.  Look 39º above East Southeast.  The ISS will disappear 10º above East Northeast.  Then it will be visible again for 5 minutes at 7:29 AM.  Look 10º above West where it appears, then it will disappear at 10º above North Northeast.  The sky will be partly cloudy with more clouds in southern Indiana and fewer clouds in Kentucky. 

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AT2

AT2

Saturday's sighting will happen at 6:38 AM.  It will be visible for 3 minutes appearing 34º above Northwest and disappearing 10º above Northeast.  This will be the cloudiest day of the weekend with scattered snow showers to our north.  I suggest not trying to see it here. 

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AT3

Sunday also has two opportunities to spot the station.  It will be visible for less than a minute at 5:49 AM.  It will appear at 16º above Northeast and disappear at 10º above Northeast.  Then at 7:22 AM it will be visible for 3 minutes. Look 10º above Northwest, then it will disappear 10º above North.  The clouds are a bit more tricky.  I expect we will still be mostly cloudy this early in the morning Sunday.  Saturday's snow chances are brought in by a cold front, but it doesn't look like the sky will clear out quickly behind that front. 

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AT5

Below is a reminder from NASA about what it means for the ISS to "appear" and "disappear" in the sky. 

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It looks like Friday morning will be your best chance to see the ISS this weekend, but even then it's a bit of a toss-up with the clouds depending on where you are.  If you do try to see the ISS or capture any images of it, share with me using the links below! 

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-Hannah Strong

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12/27/2017

Coldest Morning in More Than a Year

Wednesday started bitterly cold.  With a low temperature of 8º, this is the coldest low temperature Louisville has experienced since January 18, 2016.  Wind chill values were even colder than that! Many spots across Kentuckiana experienced wind chills below zero Wednesday morning. 

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A cold front came through late Tuesday which dropped temperatures Wednesday morning.  Remember, a cold front is the boundary between two different air masses.  This one coming in after the front is much colder. 

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Temperatures behind that cold front are nearly 20 degrees colder than ahead of the front.  The passage of the front also changed the wind direction.  Our wind is now blowing out of the north/northwest. 

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The air where our wind is coming from is brutally cold.  The coldest air is still to our north in Canada where temperatures are in the 20s and 30s below zero!  While that air mass will modify before it gets here, it will still be cold - not 20s and 30s below zero, but cold. 

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Tomorrow morning several forecast models, including the NAM, show wind chills below freezing again.  Thursday morning will be very similar to Wednesday morning with a low temperature near 10 degrees and a few places with wind chill values below zero. 

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Average high temperatures this time of year are in the lower 40s, and average low temperatures are in the upper 20s.  It looks like our temperatures will stay below average for at least the next week. 

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Another blast of frigid arctic air comes in Saturday.  Low temperatures next week will only be in the single digits and high temperatures will be in the lower 20s for most of the week.  That means high temperatures next week will be even colder than our low temperatures are supposed to be this time of year.  All our meteorologists will be explaining the latest forecast updates to you on WDRB News this week, so make sure you check with us for new information. 

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-Hannah Strong

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12/26/2017

50" OF SNOW IN LESS THAN 48 HOURS! Time-lapse From Erie, PA...

Snow put on quite the show in Erie, Pennsylvania with more than 50 inches falling in less than 48 hours. The official 2-day total reached an astonishing 58". That's more than most cities get in a year! Here are a few seasonal snow averages to help put things into perspective...

Cleveland: 52.2" on average per year

Boston: 43.7" on average per year

Chicago: 37.5" on average per year

 

Video Credit: Epic Web Studios

 

-Rick DeLuca

Rick

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