Few Showers and Storms This Weekend
We are sunny, dry, warm and humid! But notice below, there is actually quite a bit of activity happening in our atmosphere and just to our west. That cold front in the plains is headed toward us and will bring our next best chance for showers and storms. BUT...it not a great chance. Not everyone will see showers and storms and the line will be weakening as it makes its way toward Kentuckiana.
The boundaries over us now, give us a slight chance for a few stray showers to develop this afternoon. Most of the us will stay dry.
I increase our rain chance to about 20% this evening. For overnight and Sunday morning, I increase it to 30% as the front moves through.
SPC has a marginal risk for severe weather over our western counties. We are lacking substantial wind energy, but there is plenty of instability. Rogue strong to severe storms are possible. The better chance is outside of Kentuckiana, to the west, but not off the table for us.
For any strong storm, main threats would be gusty winds, heavy rain and lightning. This will not be a defined squall line along the front, but rather scattered showers and storms. Storms will be around for about half the day tomorrow from 12 am to noon.
Let's look at the timing a bit closer...
Notice how showers and storms become more numerous around 1 am
I do think some of us will see scattered showers and storms during the overnight hours and into Sunday morning. But I also think there is a better chance to stay dry. Remember, if you see any storms, there is the potential for them to be on the strong side.
Notice below, a lot of data suggests this line will start to weakening as it moves into our viewing area.
But then, as the front progresses to the east and temps start to warm late morning and early afternoon, showers and storms will begin to flare up again in the Bluegrass region and eastern KY. But at that point, the front will have likely cleared and we will see very few remaining showers and storms in our viewing area.
Even though the shower and storm chance is lower with this cold front, we will still notice that a front pushed through. Temps will drop by Sunday night/Monday morning. Lows will be in the FIFTIES for much of Kentuckiana and highs will drop into the lower 80s. We will also notice a dip in the dew points or the humidity. So it will be not as sticky. The beginning of the week will be very comfortable in the low 80s with sunshine! Enjoy!
For the latest about our shower and storm chances this weekend, be sure to join Hannah on WDRB News this evening. I will also be showing you current radar scans bright and early and update you on any severe weather updates tomorrow morning from 6-9 am on WDRB in the Morning! Be sure to join us!
We will also post updates on social media! The links to my pages are below!
-Katie McGraw
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