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06/08/2018

WEEKEND STORMS: A Severe Risk Has Been Posted For Both Days...

The heat and humidity are back which could fuel weekend storms at times. The Storm Prediction Center posted a severe risk on Saturday and Sunday for all of Kentuckiana. This is known as a "marginal risk" and is level 1 out of 5...

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While there's plenty of instability around both days, the wind energy appears rather weak. On Sunday there's a little more to work with, but still nothing that supports organized severe. In this very low shear, moderate CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) environment, thunderstorms tend to be slow moving. That means our main threats are heavy rain, gusty winds, small hail and frequent lightning. If we happen to get a couple warnings, it would be due to gusty winds as storms collapse. Now that we've discussed the threats, let's try to give you a rough idea of the timing. Saturday begins sunny and dry, then just a few storms flare up for parts of our area after 4 pm and continue into the evening hours. Many end up rain-free on Saturday so I wouldn't cancel any outdoor plans...

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Remember, I think Sunday offers up the better shot for storms. Some could be strong to severe, but the threat is low. There's also a morning and afternoon rain chance. A batch of dying storms slides along the front before noon, then with daytime heating storms reignite later in the day. Both weekend days look very warm and humid with highs in the upper 80's, but it will feel more like the 90's... 

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Overall, the severe risk is nothing to worry about. Just make sure you head inside when you hear thunder, and if a storm happens to go severe, stay away from windows. Marc and I will be on WDRB at 10 & 11 with an update regarding the weekend storm threat along with a look at how long this steamy and stormy pattern will last. Enjoy the weekend! 

 

 

 

-Rick DeLuca

Rick

https://www.facebook.com/RickDeLucaWeather

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