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January 27, 2011

An "Interesting" Storm

Did that get your attention. :) In the short term we are only looking at a small clipper system, but next week we do need to watch a storm closely.

Let's start with our clipper system tonight. This is really a classic clipper type system for Kentuckiana.1




Notice the clipper is nearing our area around midnight tonight.



This is a very classic clipper system for the Ohio valley and means no more than about a dusting in Louisville with up to 1/2" - 1" from Seymour to Madison.

Next week more significant storm?

I thought this was worth a little more time to talk about. The suite of computer models have been in disagreement over the past few days, but appear to be diverging more toward the reliable Euro model. The GFS seems to be painting a more legitimate picture of the this storm versus the last few days. To be honest, it does have some similar characteristics to the storm that just passed by yesterday.Gfs_1




















Now some GFS precipitation totals for this time period where the snow could occur.





The GFS is indicating a few inches of snow




The blue line in the above images over our area is the freezing line at about 5000 feet and a decent indicator of snow for our area, so this period does have a signal of snow. With that said, I don't buy the entire evolution of the storm and the large disconnect between the precip over the gulf states and the snow over our area.

I think accumulating snow is possible Tuesday through Wednesday next week, but I would like a little more time to dial in totals.


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